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Confused Eagle

New Concerns About Nigeria
Delegation to Rwanda and other concerns Developing Story: AFRICOM Team to Assess Situation in the DRC!!! New Concerns About Nigeria The Visit by the SECSTATE The Sudan Hearings What to Do With Somalia? How It Ends!! Two Amendments that were Suprising Reason For Optimism Two other Problem Spots Some Other News That You Might Be Interested In..... A Nigerian Trial in New York New Legislation and the Return of an Old Argument A Briefing in Farmville and A Call for Washington The More Things Change........ General Ward Visits Africa The Paradox Known as Zimbabwe Saving Captain Phillips Next Stop For APS: Cameroon Restoration of Badly Needed Funds Restoration of Badly Needed Funds US Air Force: No Plans for No Fly Zone over Darfur Yet.......... A New Undersecretary of State for Africa is nominated. Operation Objective Voice Another Movement Organizes in the United States Enter the Boxer Rising Tensions and Hopes for Peace A Good Day in Danville,Virginia Report: AFRICOM helped plan Operation Lightning Thunder An Envoy is Needed in Darfur Right Away The First Strategies of the Administration The African Policy of President Obama A Policy Reccomendation that Makes Sense Darfur and Piracy Report: US Special Envoy to Sudan Asked for Military Force A New Policy For the Horn? Outgoing and Incoming Epidemic = Endgame? Updating Somali Disappearance Story Problems Beyond Somalia and Zimbabwe Africa Partnership Station 09 Report: Somalis Missing from Minneapolis MARFORAF is Now Formed Ospreys Over Africa What will President Obama Do for Africa? Breaking News: Secretary Frazier Goes to Kinshasa !!! US Envoy: More Peacekeepers for Darfur by the End of The YEAR!!! Concern over Women Should Extend Further than the DRC Why is the US Silent Regarding the DRC? The US and Malawi The US Relationship With Malawi AFRICOM No Missions in Somalia but Trains Cameroonian and EG Soldiers New African Advocacy Group Launches in USA What will McCain and Obama do for Africa? General Nkunda Angers Washington What Will McCain and Obama do for Africa? A New Strategy towards Angola? Of Pirates and Despots that Washington has to deal with..... The State Department Religious Freedom Report 08 Developing Story: US to Increase Aid to Somaliland West Africa: Forgotten Front in the War on Drugs? A "Crucial Window of Opportunity" Somali Protests at the Republican National Committee Why Passing H Res 765 is an excellent Idea What is the Status of IVAW? IVAW Where is the Congress on This? Feds End Refugee Program Due to Fraud How Much will the DOD and STATE Spend in Africa the Next Fiscal Year? Small Arms in Africa Breaking News: US to Extend TPS to Sudan!!!!!!!! Senator Durbin Speaks Up in Support of Press Freedom!!! We Abstain US Increases Sanctions Against Zimbabwe Tyrants v Rule of Law Active Month for the US at the UN Zim Campaign begins with a new threat against the US Ambassador Why H Res. 1227 is a Great Idea Another Secession Movement Approaches Washington Other Areas that the US should be concerned about US Aims to stop Chinese Arms from reaching Zimbabwe... Finally! Hypocrisy over Child Soldiers? Americans Held in Zimbabwe and Presidential Runoff Created Congo Lobby Day in Washington State Department Report on Human Rights has been released Islamists on the March in Somalia? Kenyans Angry with Hillary Clinton A Tale of Two Peaces MEND asks for US Mediation: Should the Administration do it? Will Somaliland Independence Bill Get Any Support on Capitol Hill? President Bush: Africa Has been a Priority New African Legislation being Discussed in Washington Child Soldiers being used by US Allies???? President Bush to ignore Key Allies in African Trip Terrorists Moving Around West Africa At will? US and Europe Criticized over Zimbabwe Again..... This is not a recording US to recgonize Somaliland??? US Military Trains Ugandans in Somalia and in Uganda !!!!!! Election Results leave Kenya in Turmoil!!!! Has Congress Dropped the Ball for Africa Also??? New Era in US-Nigerian Relations?? Gambia: Is this a Crisis Under the Radar?? Rally for Southern Cameroon in New York A New Turn in US-Zimbabwe Relations? Drug War going to West Africa? Is Ethiopia Jamming the VOA? Africa, The US and Iran: Could a US Strike provoke a War? Darfur: Can the US Save the UN Mission? US to support Nigerian Efforts in the Delta Rally for HR 2003 in Oklahoma!!! Central Africa Ethiopia & Eritrea Tensions could this become a US Proxy War? Assault on the Zimbabwean Church? AFRICOM what is its real Mission? Contact the Eagle Article Page Contact Me Archives

August 17,2009
 
The Secretary of State has returned from Her Crucial Visit to Africa.
 
In Some Key Areas such as Somalia there will not be any deviation from the Policies of the Previous Administration.
 
But some Analyists are fixiating on One Area in Particular. And this is a region that has a direct impact on US Policy in the Region.

The Region in Question is Nigeria. There are several crucial reasons why this task was undertaken by the Pentagon.
 
First it sits on a key shipping lane. The Gulf of Guinea is a key route for the shipment of various products including Petroleum and sadly Narcotics.
 
Secondly is the Petroleum. An estimated 27% of the Oil imported by the United States Originates in Nigeria. So this in itself could provide a key reason for why the US would Intervene in any Crisis Situation.
 
The Scenario:
 
                       According to the African Security Research Project the scenario was tested under United Quest 2008.
 
                       In 2013 Rival Factions within the Government and Rebel Forces from the Niger Delta are Fighting for Control of the Oil Fields in the region. The Conflict has currently left the Government in Abuja near Collapse.
 
                      This is an Interesting Scenario as it reportedly did not include the Religious Strife in the North of the Country between the Muslim Majority which is trying to implement Sharia Law and the Increasingly Vocal Christian Minority where it seems that when violence occurs between these two groups the fighting seems to grow worse.

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Above you see the Oil Holdings of One Company in the Niger Delta. Could US Forces be Used to Secure these sites in the Near Future?

So What Could Happen in such a Scenario?
 
One Scenario has 20,000 Troops landing in the Delta to Secure the Wells and Processing Facilities within a 60 Day timeframe. I wonder if this happens would the US Military have the foresight to plan for improvements in the Infrastructure in the Region?
 
There were other questions asked as well such as would Diplomatic Pressure Work? Would Our African and European Allies support or oppose such an action?
 
One Alternative Suggested South Africa and/or Ghana instead of US Forces.
 
Having US Forces being seen as supporting a Corrupt or Repressive Nigerian Government could be seen as Counterproductive to what Goals the US Military was trying to achieve.
 
There are Two Items that were interesting. First was that General Casey the US Army Chief of Staff presented the Results of this Game to both President Obama and Senator McCain. The War Game was run during the Campaign and secondly none of the Officers of AFRICOM were present during this.
 
The Game Ended with a Coup by one of the Factions within Nigeria and thus US Troops were not needed.
 
But does this mean that there may be a time in Place where US Troops will actually have to enter Nigeria? or the DRC or go back into Somalia?

There will be more to this item in the Future.

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